Index levels;market breadth;trading value;investor flows;futures;based on KRX regular-session close data (November 10–13 figures finalized at 15:38 KST);November 9 investor flows derived by subtracting November 10–13 from the five-day KRX total;investor amounts rounded to the nearest KRW 1bn;foreign investors include the 'other foreign' category;November 13 foreign net flow of −KRW 551bnuses the same 15:38 cutoff as the other four sessions;the November 13 Daily used −KRW 547.5bnfrom end-of-session news reports, a KRW 3.5bn difference;
other corporations, etc., are estimated as the balancing figure against foreign,institutional andretail flows;breadth is advancing stocks (including limit-up shares) divided by all issues, including unchanged stocks;the November 9 breadth ratio and trading value come from that day's Daily, with trading value taken from Naver Pay Securities at 15:38 KST
Sector andthematic weekly returns calculated from November 6 and 13 KRX index closes (levels displayed on Toss Securities charts);prior-week values from last week's Weekly;individual stocks use regular-session closes on November 6 and 13;the three semiconductor-equipment names use Daum Finance daily prices (KRX closing prices);market caps calculated using listed share counts from the same provider
Daily catalysts:Snowshagal Daily reports for November 9–13 and their cited sources;volatility-halt times sourced to the November 10 and 11 Dailies
Grading last week's questions:Semiconductor Top 15 and KOSPI figures use KRX closes;U.S. October CPIand PPIare from the Bureau of Labor Statistics;PPI consensus from CNBC;TheStreet·U.S. 10-year Treasury yields from the Treasury's daily yield tables;·October 30 Semiconductor Top 15 and KOSPI closes from last week's Weekly
November 1–10 semiconductor exports from Korea Customs Service(as republished by the KDI Economic Information Center);CoreWeave Q3 results from the company release;·U.S. Senate votes from the records for November 9 clotureand the November 10 motion to proceed; records;the cited H.R. 2347 was originally a tax bill used as a legislative vehicle for the transmission-permitting measure (BAAJA);the scheduled November 16 U.S. vote from the Senate floor schedule;·Texas permitting pause and December 10 report target from White & Case andData Center Dynamics;easing U.S.–Iran tensions and the November 10 oil selloff from KB Securities' closing commentary;Korea JoongAng Daily
November 13 U.S. markets:index data from TradingKey;AMD·Broadcom andNvidia price moves from StockTitan;Nvidia's closing price and six consecutive down weeks from Bloomingbit;weekly S&P 500 return and Nvidia weekly drawdown from TheStreet;Goolsbee remarks from TheStreet;HSBC downgrade from MarketDailyTape (citing CNBC);resignation accepted November 11 and announced November 12 from Nvidia's securities filing;·succession reporting and company response from TheStreet (citing the Financial Times);earnings schedule unchanged, per Market Inks
Next week's calendar:Nvidia release time from IssueOn;FourWeekMBA·consensus Nvidia revenue from The Globe and Mail (LSEG);company revenue guidance from Nvidia's second-quarter earnings release;·Anthropic indicated IPO range and share count from the second amended registration statement;·approximately $1.4tn fully diluted equity value and timetable from CNBC;investingLive·retail sales calendar from The Globe and Mail;retail sales consensus from FXStreet;FOMC minutes schedule from Kiplinger;Warsh's opening remarks at 09:00 U.S. local time from the San Francisco Fed event schedule;Home Depot,Disney andWalmart earnings schedules from TheStreet;APEC and ASEAN coverage from Aju News andE Today;revised Korean trading hours for the college entrance exam from the KRX's November 5 notice
Fed December hike probabilities:November 10: 90.5% for 25bp and 9.5% for 50bp, per SBS Biz;84.7% and 11%, per Bloomingbit;mid-teens probability in local coverage on November 13, citing Eugene Investment & Securities' Eugene's FICC Update
Sell-side research (broker, report title, release date,and cited claim):Daishin Securities, “Quentin's Strategy: A Lift from CoreWeave and Anthropic Despite Tightening Risks” (November 11; record $16.63bn of semiconductor exports, November 1–10);iM Securities, “The AI Investment Cycle: Concerns Versus Reality” (November 12; semiconductor exports up 331.2% year on year);SK Securities, “CoreWeave Eases Some Concerns; Order Cuts Have Not Materialized” (November 12; no order cuts, five-year supply agreements under discussion, 12-month forward P/E of 3.3x for Samsung Electronics and 2.9x for SK hynix);Eugene Investment & Securities, “A Lot Is Already Priced In” (November 12; stress test using a 2018-style selloff);Hana Securities, “Semiconductors In Depth: Capacity Is Struggling to Keep Up With AI Demand” (November 12; more than a year for new-fab equipment installation);Daol Investment & Securities, “Market Weekly Check ME Up! — Second Week of November” (November 13; wait for catalysts before increasing exposure);Kyobo Securities, “Semiconductors at the Hour Between Dog and Wolf” (November 9; 13 GW of roughly 23 GW unbuilt capacity is in high-regulatory-risk areas);Kiwoom Securities, “Q3 Earnings Season Review: Chip Concentration Persists, Earnings Surprises Fade” (November 12; earnings cuts in 19 of 25 sectors);
DS Investment & Securities, “BAAJA Clears Procedural Votes: What Comes Next?” (November 11; Senate cloture 73–25; transmission permitting could fall from six–ten years to around two);DS Investment & Securities, “The Conditions for Power Supply” (November 10; conditional forecast of 50% growth in 2027 downstream demand if the bill passes);Hanwha Investment & Securities, “Orange Strategy: A Visible Path Out of Bottlenecks” (November 11; extension of Texas's existing pause; cables as the top pick);Hanwha Investment & Securities, “Data-Center Regulations Are Priced In; Equipment Recovery Awaits Major Orders” (November 6; rules unlikely before January 2027);Kyobo Securities, “2027 Bank Outlook: Dividend Stories Shine Under Pressure” (November 11; KRW 25.1tn in net profit);SK Securities, “October Lending and Deposit Trends: Funding Mix Continues to Deteriorate” (November 12);SK Securities, “Banks and Brokers: KTB Primary-Dealer Cartel Fines” (November 12; KRW 1.6265tn across 15 firms);Yuanta Securities, “Telecom Weekly: Q3 Results and the Market's Focus on AI Data Centers” (November 11; combined operating profit of the three carriers up 81.1%);Hana Securities, “Telecom Services and Equipment Weekly: Catalysts Are Building” (November 12);Hana Securities, “Daily SMP Rise Confirmed in November” (November 13; SMP around KRW 150/kWh, possible Q4 loss at KEPCO);
Daishin Securities, “A Review of Foreign Selling: Re-Entry Scenarios Based on Volatility” (November 10; UK-linked accounts 45.6%, theoretical KRW 121tn in re-entry capacity at 35% volatility);Daishin Securities, “2027 Economic and Financial Market Outlook: From Setback to Opportunity” (November 10; Korea's MSCI EM weight; potential foreign net buying in H1 2027);Daishin Securities, “Weekly Rates and FX Outlook” (November 9);iM Securities, “Bond Brief: Equity Prices and Exports Are Different Things” (November 10);SK Securities, “BONDYSSEY: Lower, But Limited” (November 10; policy rate peaking at 3.50%);IBK Securities' warning of potential selling to fund Anthropic subscriptions was cited in last week's Weekly;All dates are report publication dates
Past reports:www.snowshagal.com