The 7,000 threshold · Nearly reached it, but never broke through
2026.08.27
Snowshagal Report

The 7,000 Threshold

ONE LINE TODAY

Nearly reached it,
but never broke through

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SNOWSHAGAL · DAILY
MARKET RESEARCH
2026.08.27 · THU
KRX CLOSE 15:30
DAILY MARKET NOTE / 27 AUG 2026

The 09:00 High,
Then a Day of Giveback

NVIDIA earnings offset U.S. inflation pressure, sending KOSPI to a +2.76% gap-up open
After the Bank of Korea raised the policy rate to 3.00%, the index gave back nearly half of the opening gain
Close +1.53% · despite a 104-point index rise, narrowed to 35.0%.

The index's leadership and individual investors' preferred trades · a day pulling in opposite directions

A Day When the Open Was Also the High

Intraday path and open · low · high · close
KOSPI · 09:00—15:30Opened at the high · 10:00 low · afternoon recovery · closed after giving back nearly half the gain
09:00 12:00 15:30
OPEN6,996.12+2.76%
LOW6,841.88+0.49%
HIGH6,996.12+2.76%
CLOSE6,912.37+1.53%
THE READ

The earnings-driven gap did the heavy lifting · the opening print marked the day's high. The index held roughly half the gap · 34 sectors rose · 44 fell. This was not a broad-market advance, but a rally led by a narrow group of leaders.

OPEN · MORNING

The First Print Was the Day's High

6,996.12 (+2.76%) open · that level became the day's ceiling. The market turned lower immediately after the morning rate-hike announcement · formed the low at 10:00, 6,841.88 (+0.49%).

AFTERNOON

Losses Narrowed · The Ceiling Held

After the low, electrical equipment and secondary batteries joined semiconductors · KOSPI recovered the 6,900 level. It failed to retest the morning high · the gap between rising and falling sectors persisted throughout the afternoon.

CLOSE

83.75 Points Below the High

Closed at 6,912.37 (+1.53%) · gave back nearly half of the gap-up gain. Advancers 317 · decliners 539 · declining stocks outnumbered advancing stocks even on an index-up day.

Line reproduces the intraday index path from Naver Finance · open, low, high and close are final KRX figures.

Three Divergences on an Index-Up Day

One each in the index · flows · sectors
01

Index Up · More Stocks Down

KOSPI advancer ratio fell from 64.6% → 35.0% · nearly halved. During a 104-point index rise, decliners outnumbered advancers by 1.7×.

35.0%KOSPI advancer ratio
View the Evidence
KOSPI: 317 up · 50 unchanged · 539 down
KOSDAQ advancer ratio also narrowed, 52.8% → 48.8%
Among 79 sectors: 34 up · 44 down · 53 had risen the previous day
Among 219 themes: 123 up · 96 down · 167 had risen the previous day
02

Individuals · Net Sold Large-Cap Semis · Net Bought Autos

Individuals net sold Samsung Electronics -KRW 862.1bn · SK hynix -KRW 591.3bn. At the same time, they net bought Hyundai Motor · Hyundai Mobis · Kia · while the auto sector closed -2.86%.

+KRW 287.0bnIndividual net buying · Hyundai Motor
View the Evidence
Individuals: Hyundai Mobis +KRW 110.3bn · Kia +KRW 92.3bn
The two large-cap semis themselves closed +1.72% · +2.49%
Hyundai Motor close -2.45% · 0 of 7 stocks in the major-auto theme advanced
Semiconductor selling and auto buying · cannot confirm that the same money funded both sides
03

Foreigners · Split the Two Semis for a Second Day

Net bought Samsung Electronics · net sold SK hynix · repeating the previous day's split. Both flows, however, were smaller.

+KRW 374.7bnForeign net buying · Samsung Electronics
View the Evidence
Previous day +KRW 671.3bn+KRW 374.7bn · buying size decreased
SK hynix -KRW 382.1bn-KRW 269.0bn · selling size decreased
Foreigners: Samsung Electro-Mechanics +KRW 155.6bn · Samsung SDI +KRW 77.2bn
Institutions also net sold SK hynix -KRW 242.2bn · reinforcing the same selling bias

What Changed from Yesterday

Three numbers that moved day on day
01
KOSPI advancer ratio
64.6%
35.0%
02
Advancing stocks in semiconductors
71 stocks
121 stocks
03
Distance from the 8/21 close
104.74p
0.58p
READ CAREFULLY

In just three sessions, the index recovered to the level that preceded the -3.12% drop on 8/24 · ending just 0.58p from the 8/21 close. Yet only one in three stocks advanced at that level · the index came back, the broader market did not.

What Individuals Sold · What They Bought

Investor totals and stock-level net buying
INDIVIDUAL / KOSPI CASH
-KRW 1.912tn

In the gap-up session, individuals net sold KRW 1.912tn of KOSPI cash equities. At the stock level, they were heavy net sellers of large-cap semiconductors while net buying three auto names. The market, however, rewarded the opposite side of those trades.

Samsung Electronics-KRW 862.1bn
Hyundai Motor+KRW 287.0bn
Futures · Program Flows
Foreign +KRW 1.587tn
Institution -KRW 1.581tn
KOSPI program+KRW 155.2bn
+KRW 98.6bn
Foreign cash equities +KRW 135.4bn · futures +KRW 1.587tn · institutions took almost the exact opposite stance. Futures buying alone is not enough to call a bullish turn · cash and futures have different closing times, so closing-price differences are excluded from comparison.

Strong Sectors · Weak Sectors

Based on sector returns · not capital inflow/outflow amounts

STRONG

Electrical Equipment+10.30%
Electrical Products+6.44%
Aerospace & Defense+4.72%
Electronic Equipment & Instruments+3.96%

WEAK

Internet & Catalog Retail-4.37%
Automobiles-2.86%
Game Entertainment-2.25%
Auto Parts-2.05%

Leadership shifted toward power/electrical equipment and secondary batteries. Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment +1.87% · the sector return itself was modest, but internal breadth improved versus the previous day with 121 of 172 stocks up and 41 down. On the other side, automobiles and auto parts weakened together.

Sector · Theme Evidence
Among 79 sectors, 34 rose · 44 fell · reversing from 53 advancers the previous day. Among 219 themes, 123 rose · 96 fell · versus 167 advancers the previous day. All 8 stocks in the wire/cable theme advanced · 105 of 143 secondary-battery-theme stocks rose · 0 of 7 major-auto-theme stocks rose. Top market-cap names · LG Energy Solution +5.56% · Samsung Electro-Mechanics +4.14% rose · Samsung C&T -3.10% · Samsung Electronics Pref. -1.27% fell. Hyundai Motor turnover was KRW 98.5bn · 14.3% of the stock's trading value · above the KOSPI-wide share of 4.9%.

Inflation Weighed · Earnings Opened the Door · Rates Closed It

Yesterday's three questions · today's market answers
BANK OF KOREA POLICY RATE · 8/27
3.00%
2.75% → 3.00% · +0.25%p · second consecutive hike
2026 GDP growth forecast2.6% → 3.3%
Median 6-month policy-rate outlook3.25%

Three Catalysts Arrived in Sequence

① U.S. inflation
July : headline +0.2% MoM · +3.7% YoY · core +0.2% MoM · +3.3% YoY · real was essentially flat. Headline inflation came in somewhat above market expectations and remained too high to say inflation pressure had sufficiently eased · U.S. 10-year yield 4.664%, +2.5bp · Nasdaq -0.08%. Discount-rate pressure was already present before the Korean open · the U.S. regular session had not ended in strong risk-on mode.

② NVIDIA
Reported after the U.S. regular-session close. Revenue $96.22B · adjusted EPS $2.22 · Q3 revenue guidance $108B ±2% all beat consensus · data-center revenue $89.0B. The key takeaway was not the quarter already reported, but confirmation that demand remained durable into Q3 · a direct catalyst for strength in Korean semiconductors and KOSPI's +2.76% gap-up open.

③ Bank of Korea
Policy rate 2.75% → 3.00% · 25bp · second consecutive hike. The 2026 growth forecast was raised 2.6% → 3.3% · median 6-month policy-rate outlook 3.25%. Stronger growth is supportive for corporate earnings, but it also widens the scope for further tightening · stronger tightening expectations weighed on the morning session.

U.S. inflation · rate pressure remains unresolved. Headline +3.7% YoY · core +3.3% YoY · discount-rate pressure was present before the open.
NVIDIA · pushed back against demand concerns. Revenue · adjusted EPS · Q3 guidance all beat consensus · data center $89.0B · the assumption of zero China data-center compute revenue was also constructive.
Bank of Korea · a stronger growth outlook actually increased room for tightening. Policy rate 3.00% · growth 2.6% → 3.3% · median 6-month policy-rate outlook 3.25%.
The three catalysts pointed in different directions · inflation and rates weighed through the discount rate · NVIDIA supported semiconductor earnings expectations · Korea opened +2.76% between those forces → closed +1.53%.
We do not read today's +1.53% as a simple risk-on move · index +104p · advancer ratio 35.0% · NVIDIA's earnings lifted a narrow group of leaders, but did not erase discount-rate pressure across the broader market.
NVIDIA Q2 Earnings · Consensus Comparison
Revenue · consensus $92.17B$96.22B
Adjusted EPS · consensus $2.10$2.22
Data Center$89.0B
Q3 guidance · consensus $104.2B$108B ±2%
Q3 matters more than Q2 · the $108B guidance is a more direct answer to concerns about slowing AI-infrastructure demand than the already-reported quarter.
The quality of the guidance was also strong · it beat consensus even assuming zero China data-center compute revenue · confirming the demand base excluding China.
For Korean semiconductors, the takeaway is continued demand · this report showed no sign of a sharp slowdown in the HBM or AI-server investment cycle.
The next question is margin, not demand · Q3 gross-margin guidance 74.0% · down from 75.0% in Q2 · higher supply costs including memory are a headwind to NVIDIA margins, but can have the opposite price effect for memory suppliers.

What to Check in the Next Session

Three tests for the next session
Can it close above 6,996.12?

A next-session close above this level would confirm that buying pressure held despite the rate hike.

Will foreign buying of Samsung Electronics continue for a third day?

Continued buying + further reduction in SK hynix selling would signal convergence inside large-cap semiconductors.

Can the auto names bought by individuals turn higher?

The cleanest test of the Hyundai Motor · Hyundai Mobis · Kia net buying is the sector's return itself · if today's divergence persists, those positions could remain underwater.

The market and individual investors backed opposite sides today. The next session will show which side changes course first.

Sources · Data Basis
KOSPI/KOSDAQ open · low · high · close, market breadth, investor totals and trading value: final KRX · Naver Finance closing data · intraday path: Naver Finance intraday index chart · time of intraday low: Naver Finance 5-minute 10:00 candle low 6,841.88 · stock-level investor net buying: KRX closing investor trading data, 2026-08-27 · short selling: final KRX regular-market data · sector/theme returns and stock counts: Naver Finance close · top-market-cap closes: Naver Finance · KRX source data · K200 futures/program trading: final KRX data · USD/KRW: domestic FX daytime-session 15:30 close · policy rate, growth forecast, median 6-month policy-rate outlook: Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board, 2026.08.27 · U.S. July PCE: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · U.S. 10-year yield and Nasdaq: 8/26 close · NVIDIA earnings, guidance and gross margin: company release · consensus figures: LSEG aggregation.